Tamarack Valley Energy announces preliminary 2021 guidance Dec 15 2020 – GFI Solutions


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Tamarack Valley Energy announces strategic Clearwater oil acquisitions, $47 million equity financing and preliminary 2021 guidance

December 14, 20201:30 PM CNWCALGARY, AB – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. (“Tamarack” or the “Company“) (TSX: TVE) is pleased to announce two strategic acquisitions (together, the “Acquisitions“) which will establish a significant consolidated and operated position in the Clearwater oil play in the Greater Nipisi area along with interests in the Jarvie area of Alberta for a total net purchase price of $74.0 million, after deducting the proceeds from the sale of a 2% newly created gross overriding royalty (the “GORR Disposition“) on a select portion of the acquired properties. Pursuant to the Acquisitions, Tamarack will acquire approximately 2,000 barrels per day of crude oil production and 107,000 net acres of Clearwater rights (the “Assets“). On closing, Tamarack will control and operate 100% of the Greater Nipisi acquired assets. Concurrent with the completion of the Acquisitions, Tamarack will complete a $47 million equity financing (the “Financing“).

The Acquisitions and the Financing will provide Tamarack with a significant position in one of the most economic oil plays in Western Canada and further the Company’s strategy of maintaining a resilient balance sheet while pursuing opportunities to enhance free adjusted funds flow and sustainability.

“The Assets are complementary to Tamarack’s strengths in execution and recovery improvement. The Assets also complement our expanding waterflood production in Veteran and boost the Company’s free adjusted funds flow over the next several years,” stated Brian SchmidtPresident and CEO of Tamarack.

Tamarack Highlights

  • Tamarack has established a significant position in the Clearwater oil play
    • ~107,000 net acres in one of the most economic oil plays in Western Canada
    • ~2,000 bbl/d of current production
  • The Assets are highly economic and poised for larger scale development
    • Over 400 net future drilling locations identified by management including over 300 locations in the Greater Nipisi area and over 100 locations in the Jarvie area
    • Planned development to increase production from the Assets to ~4,500 to 5,500 bbl/d in Q4 2021 through ~$55 million investment from Tamarack’s 2021 capital budget
  • Enhanced free adjusted funds flow generation and resiliency underpinned by economic inventory and active enhanced oil recovery
    • Pro forma 2021 free adjusted funds flow of ~$38 million, including a 12% oil production growth rate (Q4 2021 over Q4 2020 exit)
    • Free adjusted funds flow break-even of ~$40/bbl WTI
  • Industry-leading balance sheet strength and financial liquidity to execute
    • Pro forma estimated year-end net debt to trailing adjusted funds flow of approximately 1.2x by Q4 2021
  • Industry-leading Environment, Social and Governance (ESG) practices including a decade-long Indigenous partnership
    • The Assets have minimal asset retirement obligation (ARO) ($2.9 million undiscounted) and development that does not require any use of fresh water volumes for completions and limited land use through multi-well pad drilling
    • Tamarack released its inaugural sustainability report in October 2020 outlining the Company’s commitment to ESG and associated initiatives

Overview of the Acquisitions

Tamarack has entered into a definitive agreement with Woodcote Oil Corp. (“Woodcote“), a Clearwater focussed private company, pursuant to which the Company will acquire all of the issued and outstanding shares of Woodcote, (the “Corporate Acquisition“). The Corporate Acquisition will secure Tamarack a 50% operated working interest in the Greater Nipisi area, an established Clearwater development area with top decile economics in the Western Canadian Basin. Concurrent with the execution of the definitive agreement, the shareholders of Woodcote have executed letters of transmittal irrevocably accepting Tamarack’s offer and tendering their shares in connection with the Corporate Acquisition. The definitive agreement provides for, among other things, a non-solicitation covenant on the part of Woodcote.

Tamarack has entered into an asset purchase agreement with Highwood Oil Company Ltd. (“Highwood“) pursuant to which the Company will acquire a 50% working interest in the “Greater Nipisi” assets and a ~50 to 100% working interest in the Jarvie assets with an effective date of November 1, 2020 (the “Asset Acquisition“).

The Acquisitions are expected to close on or about December 21, 2020 subject to certain regulatory and other approvals and the satisfaction or waiver of customary closing conditions.

In conjunction with the Acquisitions, Tamarack has entered into an agreement with Topaz Energy Corp.whereby it will sell a 2.0% gross overriding royalty (GORR) on a select portion of the Assets. Tamarack has committed to spending $80.0 million of capital on the assets associated with the GORR lands prior to December 31, 2022.

Transaction Metrics

Net Purchase Price (Inclusive of GORR Disposition)$74.0 million
Current Production~2,000 bbl/d
Operating Field Netback (1)~$19.5 million
Estimated 2021 Operating Field Netback ($/boe)$27/boe
2021 Clearwater Capital Program~$55.0 million
Q4/2021 Production Forecast4,500 to 5,500 bbl/d
Q4/2021 Forecast Annualized Operating Field Netback$44.0 million to $54.0 million
Total Proved Plus Probable Reserves (2)6.5 mmboe
Total Clearwater Acreage~107,000 net acres
ARO (Undiscounted)~$2.9 million
Notes:
(1) Annualized operating field netback is based on current production and estimated operating field netback of ~$27/boe.
(2) Total proved plus probable reserves are internally estimated by the Company’s internal qualified reserve evaluators (“QRE”) and prepared in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 (“NI 51-101”) and the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluations Handbook (“COGEH”). “Internally estimated” means an estimate that is derived by the Company’s internal QRE and prepared in accordance with NI 51-101. All internal estimates contained in this new release have been prepared effective as of December 31, 2019.

Preliminary 2021 Pro Forma Guidance

Tamarack’s 2021 preliminary guidance reflects material year-over-year growth in free adjusted funds flow based on the highly economic growth from the Assets and observed strong performance from the Company’s waterflood project.

Capital Budget (Including ARO Spend)         $102 million
Annual Average Production23,000 boe/d
Annual Average Oil & Natural Gas Liquids Weighting64%
Annual Adjusted Funds Flow$140 million
Annual Free Adjusted Funds Flow$38 million
Q4 2021 Average ProductionQ4 2021 Oil & Natural Gas Liquids Weighting23,500 boe/d68%
2021 Estimated Corporate Decline Rate22% to 24%

This guidance and the transaction metrics are based on average 2021 commodity price assumptions of WTI US$46.71/bbl, MSW/WTI differential of US$5.88/bbl, WCS/WTI differential of US$12.94/bbl and AECO at $2.53/GJ as well as a Canadian/US dollar exchange rate of $1.300.

The Company will release its formal 2021 guidance in January of 2021.

Non-Brokered Private Placement

Pursuant to the terms of the Financing, Tamarack will issue, on a non-brokered private placement basis, up to 40,925,000 common shares (“Common Shares“) at a price of $1.15 per Common Share for aggregate gross proceeds of up to approximately $47 million, of which $2.1 million is anticipated to be subscribed for by directors and officers of Tamarack. The proceeds from the Financing will be initially used to reduce indebtedness and thereafter to partially fund the Company’s 2021 capital expenditures. The Financing is expected to close concurrent with the Acquisitions.

The Financing is subject to certain conditions including normal regulatory approvals and, specifically, the approval of the Toronto Stock Exchange. The Common Shares issued in connection with the Financing will be subject to a statutory hold period of four months plus one day from the applicable dates(s) of completion of the Financing, in accordance with applicable securities legislation.

This press release is not an offer of the securities for sale in the United States. The securities have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration. This press release shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy nor shall there be any sale of the securities in any state in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful.

Advisors

Peters & Co. Limited is acting as financial advisor to Tamarack with respect to the Acquisitions, the GORR Disposition and the Financing.

National Bank Financial Inc. is acting as financial advisor to Tamarack with respect to the Corporate Acquisition, the GORR Disposition and the Financing.

CIBC Capital Markets and Stifel FirstEnergy are acting as strategic advisors to Tamarack.

Stikeman Elliott LLP is acting as counsel to Tamarack with respect to the Acquisitions, the GORR Disposition and the Financing.

About Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.

Tamarack is an oil and gas exploration and production company committed to long-term growth and the identification, evaluation and operation of resource plays in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. Tamarack’s strategic direction is focused on two key principles: (i) targeting repeatable and relatively predictable plays that provide long-life reserves; and (ii) using a rigorous, proven modeling process to carefully manage risk and identify opportunities. The Company has an extensive inventory of low-risk, oil development drilling locations focused primarily in the Cardium and Viking fairways in Alberta that are economic over a range of oil and natural gas prices. With this type of portfolio and an experienced and committed management team, Tamarack intends to continue delivering on its strategy to maximize shareholder returns while managing its balance sheet.

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